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Consumer

According to BCA Research’s Foreign Exchange Strategy and Global Investment Strategy services, most indications of Japanese inflation are pointing to upside surprises. This will boost interest-rate differentials in favor of the yen. Core-core CPI came…
Special Report

In this special report, we discuss whether the economic conditions necessary for a stronger yen (and higher JGB yields) will materialize over the next 12-to-18 months.

In this special report, we discuss whether the economic conditions necessary for a stronger yen (and higher JGB yields) will materialize over the next 12-to-18 months.

BCA Research's US Investment Strategy service’s yearlong recommendation to overweight equities was founded on its high-conviction view that investors were underestimating American consumers’ resources and resolve. The consensus pooh-poohed the mountain of…

Inspired by a client’s questions, we examine the rationale behind the implementation of the trailing stop governing our near-term asset allocation recommendations.

Although the RMB has cheapened, macro conditions are not yet favorable for the Chinese currency. We expect the RMB to decline by at least another 5% in the next six months. A weak currency and subdued economic growth lead us to maintain a cautious stance on Chinese equities.

The US NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index increased by 0.9 points to an eight-month high of 91.9, beating expectations of a more muted 0.3-point increase. Although the level remains depressed below the 49-year average of 98, the trend is positive: the July…
The Norwegian krone’s fortunes have recently reversed. It has been the best performing G10 currency since the end of May. This comes after a period of pronounced weakness during which it was the only G10 currency to depreciate vis-à-vis the US dollar between…
As expected, the Bank of England delivered another 25 basis point rate increase at its Thursday meeting, lifting the policy rate to 5.25%. Going forward, Bailey – not unlike his counterparts at the Fed and ECB – highlighted that the MPC will be…
The US Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) reveals that US banks continue to tighten lending standards for commercial and industrial (C&I), commercial real estate (CRE), residential real estate (RRE), home equity lines of credit…