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Strategy Insight

Senate Market Odds: Watch The Swing States

by Jesse Anak Kuri, Strategist  

Aggregate Senate betting market pricing appears too pessimistic on Democrats relative to state-level odds and early polling, suggesting a potential mispricing and a relatively sanguine attitude towards the still-unresolved conflict in Iran and its aftermath.

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BCA Research | US Political Strategy

A blend of geopolitics and macro, synthesizing the new and old macro to generate alpha and identify the beta through probability-weighted market views.

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