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Developed Countries

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The Risk Of Overheating

Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for February 2024.

US Bond Strategy by Ryan Swift
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Groundhog Day
Special Report

We do not believe that NYCB is a canary in the coal mine for a new round of bank distress. The MidCap 400 Regional Bank Index’s subsequent 10% decline looks to us like a juicy opportunity for stockpickers who can separate the wheat from the chaff. Our Special Report is meant to assist them with their initial winnowing.

US Investment Strategy by Doug Peta
US Banks' Lending Conditions Continue To Tighten
The US Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) continues to show the impact of the Fed’s tightening cycle. Banks were still tightening lending standards for commercial and industrial (C&I), commercial real estate (CRE), home equity…
Daily Insights
January Survey Results: Invincible?
In the monthly Daily Insights Survey we conducted over the past week, we asked about our readers’ views on tech stocks, the US economy in 2024, and China’s contribution to global growth. Regarding tech stocks, 44% of respondents believe the rally as…
Daily Insights
Treasury Selloff Continues
Treasury yields continued to push higher on Monday, bringing the total increase over the past two trading days to 29bps. The move comes on the back of strong economic data releases indicating that conditions in the US are resilient. Notably, Friday’s…
Daily Insights
Escalating Conflict In The Middle East
Since the pursuit of a nuclear deterrent makes it inevitable that the US and Israel will oppose Iran in the coming years, Iran must seize the initiative today. It cannot afford to assume that the Democratic Party will stay in power and continue to pursue…
Daily Insights
Sweden Riksbank Monitor Update
BCA Research’s European Investment Strategy service upgrades Swedish government bonds to neutral from underweight within European fixed-income portfolios. The Riksbank kept its policy rate steady at 4% last week. Governor Erik Thedéen and the Riksbank…
Daily Insights
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Style Chart Pack: The Magnificent Five

The soft landing and rate cuts narrative is being priced out, and the S&P 500 is overvalued and getting overbought. The Magnificent Seven are about to get a new moniker on the back of performance dispersion. However, without the cohort, S&P 500 earnings would have been even deeper in the red.

US Equity Strategy by Irene Tunkel
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European Central Bank Monitor Update

Our Central Bank Monitors support European central bankers’ decision to hold rates steady. Find out what it means for European fixed-income portfolio allocation.

European Investment Strategy by Jeremie Peloso
A Blockbuster Jobs Report
The US Employment report came in well above consensus expectations on Friday, delivering a strong positive signal on labor market conditions in January. The 353 thousand increase in nonfarm payroll employment beat expectations of a slowdown to 185 thousand.…
Daily Insights

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