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Developed Countries

Countries and commercial operators are racing into space to accrue economic gain from space exploration. In coming years, the space industry will continue to grow, as humans venture into space for tourism, mining, farming, and even habitation. The industry is still in its infancy but has tremendous potential. We believe it is one of the next big investment ideas. We will monitor the theme and take on investment exposure once it matures.

Germany’s IFO survey sent a downbeat message on Friday. The headline Business Climate Index fell by 1.7 points to 85.7, below expectations of 86.8 and near the 85.2 level at which it bottomed in October. A 2.4-point decline in the Current Assessment…
The final release of the University of Michigan’s gauge of US consumer inflation expectations unexpectedly rose in August. It shows 1-year ahead inflation expectations increased by a tenth of a percentage point to 3.5% (an upwards revision from the…
The Treasury market’s reaction to Fed Chair Jermone Powell’s Jackson Hole speech was relatively tame on Friday. Although there was some volatility during the speech, the 10-year yield ended the day broadly unchanged. Meanwhile, the 2-year yield rose by 5.5…
Since July, the DXY index is up 4.5% from the lows. On a broader trade-weighted basis, the Federal Reserve’s measure of the nominal dollar is up 2.9%. The usual suspects for dollar strength have been weakness in global export/manufacturing sectors, which have…

In this report, we review our FX trade recommendations with suggestions on how to position for the next few months.

In this report, we assess the best opportunities in inflation-linked bonds in the major developed economies, based on trends in growth, inflation and the stance of monetary policies in each country. We conclude that the environment is turning more challenging for European inflation-linked bond performance versus nominal government bonds, while the opposite is true in Japan. In the US, US TIPS breakevens have likely peaked, particularly at the short end.

US durable goods orders delivered a negative surprise on Thursday. The 5.2% m/m decline in new orders for manufactured durable goods came in below expectations of a 4.0% m/m decrease and marks the biggest monthly drop since April 2020. On the one hand,…
Nvidia’s stock price hit a fresh all-time high on Thursday after its blockbuster Q2 earnings call. The company reported it generated $13.51 billion in revenue last month (above expectations of $11.2 billion) and forecasted an increase to $16 billion in Q3…
In a June insight, we discussed the possibility of a sustained lumber rally due in part to resilient housing market activity in the US and supply constraints in Canada, a major exporter of lumber. Since then, prices have remained largely flat. On the…