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Developed Countries

A Cross-Asset Volatility Tour
Despite the choppy price action of the last few weeks, equity sentiment remains elevated. Surveys of investor sentiment remain at the top end of the bullish spectrum, and the S&P 500 is trading over 22x forward earnings, levels only seen in the…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
Is The Market (Over)pricing The AI Revolution?
The Magnificent 7 have a leg up on AI investments over the rest of the market. Although the future impact of AI on productivity and profits is still debated, current tech stocks valuations reflect great optimism that AI indeed will be massively accretive to…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
Factors In Focus: Sentiment, Will It Stay Or Will It Go?

Sentiment will stay positive for now, but downside risks are rising. Investors should proceed cautiously in stock picking and portfolio construction at this juncture, given rising economic and policy uncertainty, which threaten market sentiment, and more broadly, the current bull-market. 

Equity Analyzer by Guy Russell
Trump Day One: Threats And Opportunities For Europe

President Trump is about to be inaugurated. Investors often assume all his policies will hurt Europe, but the reality is more nuanced.

European Investment Strategy by Mathieu Savary
Trump’s Inauguration
US Tariffs Will Rise On Day One (Or Week One) …
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
Is The Fiscal Gravy Train Over?
Our Chart Of The Week comes from Marko Papic, Chief Strategist of our GeoMacro Strategy service. Marko has argued that the most important macro story over the past decade has been the transition from the Washington Consensus, promoting fiscal conservatism, to…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
Is US Housing Finding A Bottom?
US December housing data was strong, with housing starts printing above estimates at 1.49m, an acceleration from an upwardly-revised 1.29m in November. Building permits also surprised positively at 1.483m, but still decreased from 1.493m a month prior. The…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
Weekly Screeners: Trumpflation, Low-Beta US Stocks, Singapore Setback

This week, our screeners cover views on Trump 2.0, defensive US equity sectors, and a pullback in Singapore equities. Our first screener aims to hedge longer term inflation risks that Trump 2.0 will likely generate, targeting US equities that are highly correlated with future inflation expectations. Our second screener identifies several defensive sectors that are worth consideration, in case of a tactical pullback in US equities. Lastly, we pick out Singapore stocks that are cheap and high safety, should a pullback occur in the local bourse given weakening macro and technical conditions. 

Equity Analyzer by Guy Russell
Philly Fed Index: Signal Or Noise?
The January Philly Fed Manufacturing index blew past estimates, soaring to 44.3 vs. a revised 10.9 points contraction in December. Most subcomponents rose for both the current and expected categories. Measures of prices paid and received also ticked…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
An Uninspiring Retail Sales Report
December US retail sales missed estimates, with the headline number printing at 0.4% m/m, a decline from an upwardly revised 0.8% in November. On the positive side, the control group beat estimates at 0.7%. Netting it all out, the report was uninspiring,…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier

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