Economy

Countries and commercial operators are racing into space to accrue economic gain from space exploration. In coming years, the space industry will continue to grow, as humans venture into space for tourism, mining, farming, and even habitation. The industry is still in its infancy but has tremendous potential. We believe it is one of the next big investment ideas. We will monitor the theme and take on investment exposure once it matures.

In this report, we review our FX trade recommendations with suggestions on how to position for the next few months.

China removed checks and balances in its political system to deal with a very dangerous economic transition. The transition is going badly, yet investors cannot rely on checks and balances to correct or prevent policy mistakes. The Taiwanese election is a looming bellwether.

In this report, we assess the best opportunities in inflation-linked bonds in the major developed economies, based on trends in growth, inflation and the stance of monetary policies in each country. We conclude that the environment is turning more challenging for European inflation-linked bond performance versus nominal government bonds, while the opposite is true in Japan. In the US, US TIPS breakevens have likely peaked, particularly at the short end.