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Economy

US And Global Manufacturing PMIs Contract
The ISM Manufacturing PMI contracted in November for the first time since mid-2020. It fell to 49.3 from 50.2, corroborating the downbeat signal from the alternative S&P Global PMI which declined by 2.7 points to 47.7. Details of the report underscore…
Daily Insights
China's Reopening: Beware Of Zigzags And Roundabouts

Is China completely abandoning its dynamic zero-COVID policy? When will the economy start recovering? What are the implications for Chinese stocks and China-related assets?
Have authorities provided enough financing to property developers? Will developers be able to repay these loans and, if not, who would bear the cost of potential defaults?
What should be the strategy for Chinese onshore rates and the RMB?

China Investment Strategy, Emerging Markets Strategy by Arthur Budaghyan
An Update On Cryptos, Blockchains, And Web 3.0 Post The FTX Debacle
Special Report

Web 3.0 plays will boom in the coming decade. Play this through a diversified exposure to today’s main blockchain tokens. But the Web 2.0 oligopolies, like Amazon and Meta, are in big trouble.

Counterpoint by Dhaval Joshi
US Political Report Card 2022

The S&P 500 is down by 17% year to date, while our portfolio is up 15%. US political analysis is essential for investors but it is best done by geopolitical method rather than Washington punditry.

US Political Strategy by Yushu Ma, Matt Gertken, Jesse Anak Kuri, Guy Russell
Eurozone Inflation Eases In November
Euro Area headline CPI inflation eased by more than anticipated in November. The annual rate moderated from 10.6% y/y to 10.0% y/y, while the monthly figure showed a 0.1% m/m decline in prices following October’s 1.5% m/m increase. Price decreases in energy…
Daily Insights
Consumption Remains A Positive Contributor To US Growth
US Q3 GDP was revised higher in the second estimate to 2.9% from the initial 2.6%. In particular, consumer spending is now estimated to have contributed 1.18 percentage points to GDP – up from the initial 0.97 percentage points – with stronger services…
Daily Insights
US Job Openings Falling, But Labor Market Is Still Too Tight
Results from the Jolts Survey continue to indicate that the US labor market is softening. The number of job openings fell from 10.7 million to 10.3 million in October, in line with the general downtrend that started in Q2. The survey’s other measures…
Daily Insights
US Consumer Confidence Deteriorates Further
The Conference Board Consumer Confidence index fell from 102.2 to 100.2 in November, marking a second consecutive month of decline following a brief improvement in Q3. Both the Present Situation and Expectations sub-indices declined from downwardly revised…
Daily Insights
Tight US Policy Is Headwind For Growth
US financial conditions have recently eased in the US economy as equity prices climbed and the dollar weakened. While this latest move is a positive development for US economic activity, its durability is questionable. More importantly from a cyclical…
Daily Insights
A Sustainable Outperformance Of Aussie Material Stocks?
Australian material stocks have recently been outperforming the overall Aussie equity market, climbing 20% since late-September. Unsurprisingly, these gains coincide with the latest rally in industrial metal prices, which has seen copper, aluminum, and nickel…
Daily Insights

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