Sorry, you need to enable JavaScript to visit this website.
Skip to main content
Skip to main content

Geopolitics

Election Night In America
According to BCA Research’s US Political Strategy service, the results of the 2023 off-year elections are positive marginally for the equity market according to the team's “Golden Rule of the 2024 Election,” in which any event that substantially erodes the…
Daily Insights
f_image_20231109_164710.PNG
Biden Not A Lame Duck (Yet)

Results from Tuesday’s elections suggest that the Democrats are doing better than what their 2024 polling are showing. While the results are marginally positive for equities, investors should not overrate this off-year election, especially considering the slowing economy and the many foreign challenges facing the US.

US Political Strategy by Matt Gertken, Jesse Anak Kuri
The Market Is Complacent On War Risks
According to BCA Research's Geopolitical Strategy service, investors should reduce risk, increase allocation to safe havens, and brace for oil price volatility and supply disruptions stemming from the Middle East over the next zero-to-12 months.  …
Daily Insights
f_image_20231102_175757.PNG
Mideast Conflict Expands Beyond Gaza

Investors should reduce risk, increase allocation to safe havens, and brace for oil price volatility and supply disruptions stemming from the Middle East over the next zero-to-12 months.

Geopolitical Strategy by Matt Gertken
The US Has A House Speaker, What Now?
The US House of Representatives finally got a Speaker, but according to BCA Research’s US Political Strategy service, his voting record indicates that he will be a populist hardliner, which increases the chance that there will be a government shutdown. …
Daily Insights
f_image_20231027_144130.PNG
Showdown In The Middle East, Shutdown In DC

Stronger US growth elicits a response from the House Republicans. But a government shutdown is not devastating to the economy. What is more devastating would be a crisis in the Middle East, Europe, and Asia. Stay long US defense, energy, and large caps stocks.

US Political Strategy by Jesse Anak Kuri
Geopolitical Risks Provide A Tailwind For Gold
The price of gold has rallied by 9.2% since October 5, reaching a 5-month high by Wednesday's close. Notably, this latest rally comes despite real bond yields having been trending higher for the past two weeks. Given that higher bond yields typically weigh…
Daily Insights
Using Equity Analyzer To Navigate The Middle East Conflict
In a recent report, BCA Research’s Equity Analyzer service proposes two strategies to help investors navigate the conflict in the Middle East. The  first strategy uses the “Macro Sensitivities” filter on the platform to create a market diversified…
Daily Insights
Scrutinizing Geopolitical Risk
Geopolitical risk is returning to the market after a hiatus for most of 2023. Global investors are now realizing what our geopolitical strategists have argued all year: that the rise in geopolitical risk is a secular trend stemming from the…
Daily Insights
What The US Banks See
BCA Research’s US Investment Strategy service studied the SIFIs’ earnings calls for insights into borrower performance, lender willingness, liquidity and the actions and intentions of households and businesses.  Nothing in the banks’ commentary…
Daily Insights

Related Topics

AI BCA Indicators/Model BDCs Bubbles/Crises/Manias Commodities Commodities & Energy Sector Country In-Focus Currencies Defaults Deleveraging See more Topics