Report
The ECB cut its deposit rate to 2.75%, as was widely anticipated. President Christine Lagarde did not provide any fireworks, but the Governing Council’s message was clear: Policy is restrictive, and inflation will fall further. As a result, if we combine our economic forecasts for the Eurozone with ...
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In Section I, Doug highlights that recent trade developments and news from the AI space are both consistent with a conservative investment stance. US final demand was robust in Q4, but the economy is still walking a tightrope as cracks in the labor market emerge. It is possible that an unorthodox se...
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Jonathan provides an update on Canada following strong performance from Canadian stocks last year. On a tactical basis, underweight Canada versus global ex-US on the expectation of tariffs targeting Canada and Mexico. Following a sell off, or if a trade war is avoided, investors should place Canadia...
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US tech stocks as a share of world stock market capitalisation is at an all-time high that exceeds even the peak of the dot com mania in 2000. At the other extreme, Europe’s share in the world stock market is at a 50-year low. While I am optimistic about the potential of generative-AI, I am not as m...
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Should investors take seriously the possibility of Canada becoming part of the US? We strongly argue that such a union is not in the cards. Conservative America will fight it tooth and nail, despite President Donald Trump’s suggestions. There is no mythical “conservative Canada.” The entire country ...
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Inflation concerns are starting to ramp up again due to potentially inflationary policies from the new Trump administration. These concerns mostly affect the US inflation outlook. Evidence from forward-looking indicators shows that the global disinflationary trend remains intact. Today’s Special Rep...
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