Insights

Join us for a Webcast introducing BCA Intelligence, our new platform for bringing BCA’s current insight and historical investment thinking into the AI assistants, analytics platforms, and internal systems your team uses. 

We’ll discuss: 

• What BCA Intelligence is, and how it works 
• Why searchable, citation-backed macro insight matters 
• How it can support existing research and investment workflows 
• Practical use cases that show BCA Intelligence in action 

Wednesday, September 30 
10:30 AM EDT | 3:30 PM BST | 4:30 PM CEST 

Speakers: 

Kurt Viehl 
Chief Revenue Officer 

Shannon Lal 
Chief Technology Officer 

Mathieu Savary 
Head of Fixed Income, Commodities & Currencies 

Katia Shtrevenshy 
Strategist, Geopolitics   

We hope you can join us. 

P.S. Can’t join us live? Register to receive the recording. 

In this Webcast, Peter, Robert and Ryan discussed

• Drivers of the recent bond selloff and whether it presents a buying opportunity for fixed income investors 
• Topical issues pertaining to bonds, including: 
  • What to expect from a Kevin Warsh-led Fed
  • The odds of a capex bust
  • The impact of AI on interest rates
  • The risk of a fiscal crisis in the US and elsewhere

Mathieu Savary, Matt Gertken, and Roukaya Ibrahim discussed:

• Markets have seen a series of supply shocks in recent years, from Covid to Ukraine to tariffs to the Iran war.
• How will these shocks evolve going forward? Should investors care more about new tariffs or the Strait of Hormuz?
• How will El Nino impact agricultural commodities and which crops are most exposed?
• How have recent shocks affected commodity prices, inflation, and inflation expectations?
• How will policy makers respond to these shocks? What are the monetary, fiscal, trade, and foreign policy implications?
• How will global financial markets respond? Where are the tactical and cyclical opportunities to be found?

Noah Holds Barred Webcast: Episode 4 (Special Edition): Defense Wins Championships: Aerospace & Defense In A Multipolar World

Hosted By: Noah Weisberger, Chief US Equity Strategist, Matt Gertken, Head of GeoMacro

Moderated By: Jason Glazer, Senior Vice President, Sales

Thursday, August 27
10:30 AM-11:00 AM EDT | 3:30 PM-4:00 PM BST | 4:30 PM-5:00 PM CEST

Key topics discussed:

• The increasing frequency of global conflicts that fail to resolve into durable ceasefires
• Near-term risk to the S&P 500 from an intensification of the Ukraine war
• Risk of a post-midterm re-escalation of the US-Iran conflict
• Trump-Xi thaw and US-China security competition as drivers of global military spending
• The impact of the spending outlook on aerospace and defense stocks
• Do stock prices reflect the impact of a multipolar world?
• Potential ways to hedge ongoing geopolitical tensions

Arthur discussed:

• Global currency markets are on the edge: the US dollar will become pro-cyclical, and the euro will become counter-cyclical.
• This regime shift would upend financial market correlations, and most investment portfolios are not positioned for it.
• The main driver of currency markets will change from interest rates to the balance of payments.
• The dollar’s dependence on net foreign flows into US equities is far greater today than ever.
• A low bar for US dollar depreciation: No net capital outflows necessary — just smaller inflows.
• A weaker US dollar will be deflationary, not reflationary, for the rest of the world.
• EM stocks will not rally in absolute terms despite a weak US dollar.
• Which asset classes and regions will perform the best during this US dollar devaluation?

In this Webcast, Juan and Brian introduced the Portfolio Construction platform and showed how it brought Public and Private Markets together in a unified framework. They also discussed the key allocation views behind why investors:

• Should Overweight Private Equity
• Should rotate out of momentum stocks into quality and hyperscalers
• Should downgrade Late-Stage Venture Capital

Moreover, they reviewed their outlook on the macro economy, fixed income, rates, real estate, infrastructure and liquid alternatives.

Please join Strategists, Mathieu Savary, with Ryan Swift, Roukaya Ibrahim, Robert Timper, and Artem Sakhbiev, for the BCA's Q3 FICC (Fixed Income, Commodities & Currencies) Outlook Webcast.

Tuesday, July 14
10:30 AM EDT | 3:30 PM BST | 4:30 PM CEST

Where they will discuss our take on the macro forces driving global fixed income, currencies, and commodities into year-end.

Topics to be discussed:

• US rates under a Warsh-led Fed,
• Where G10 central banks diverge from the Fed,
• The best opportunities we see across global bond markets,
• The dollar's path through year-end, and which currencies are set to win or lose most,
• Whether the US-Iran de-escalation holds, and the read-through for oil and the broader commodity complex.

Hosted By: Noah Weisberger, Chief US Equity Strategist

Moderated By: Jason Glazer, Senior VP, Sales

The US economy is back in Expansion, with growth positive and improving, and US equities continue to climb on the back of a firming cycle and AI-related drivers. Fundamentals still look firm: earnings expectations are rising, margins are expanding, and corporate commentary points to durable demand. But sticky inflation, higher rates, tighter financial conditions, and a coming wave of monster IPOs raise the bar for valuations.

Key topics discussed:

• Expansion extends: what the cyclical indicators are signaling now
• Capex, cash flow, AI: the boom/bubble debate, and why free cash flow matters
• Beyond tech: where AI demand and infrastructure needs are showing up next
• Earnings and margins: how much support is still coming from fundamentals
• Rates and valuations: why this may be the real constraint
• IPO supply: what 40 years of data suggests about forward returns
• Tactically, oil price relief is a reason for cyclical exposures and laggards to get a look: Long Materials, Long Consumer Cyclicals

Hosted By: Noah Weisberger, Chief US Equity Strategist

Moderated By: Jason Glazer, Senior VP, Sales

Key Topics Discussed:

• A 2H2026 update of our outlook: Fundamentals vs. fears
• What are our baskets telling us: Rotation not regime break
• Growth ascendant: Inflation fears contained
• Tactically long consumer (on the back of oil price relief)