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Insights

Access expert research, timely insights, and exclusive webcasts to help you make confident, data-driven decisions.

All Reports Webcasts
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Report
Sector Chartpack: Free Cash Flow Gives Way To Capex
The US economy is moving back toward Expansion, supported by strong investment, improving earnings, and record margins. We are taking profits on our tactical Software long after achieving our target and rotating into Materials, where commodity strength and earnings momentum continue to support the s...
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Report
The Dollar's Missing War Premium
The dollar's muted response to the Iran conflict has led many to question its safe-haven appeal. We argue the opposite – the dollar's defensive properties have returned, while improving growth and rate dynamics should underpin further USD strength in the months ahead....
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Report
Monthly TAA: Monetization – The Next Frontier Of The AI Bull Market
So far most of the value in the AI supply chain has been captured by hardware companies. However, as model providers shift to usage-based pricing, value will begin to accrue to models and applications. Communications Services and Software should benefit from this shift. This broadening of the AI sto...
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Report
China Feels The Strait Squeeze
Oil shocks hit economies with a lag. China will feel the delayed pain of surging oil prices, pushing Beijing toward infrastructure spending as its main tool to prop up growth....
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Report
MacroQuant Model Update: The Ducks Are Quacking
MacroQuant recommends a slight underweight position in equities, favors a below-benchmark duration stance in fixed-income portfolios, is very positive on the US dollar, downgrades gold to underweight, upgrades copper to overweight, and remains very bullish on oil....
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Report
Markets In Context: The BCA Chartbook of Economic & Financial History
Every market cycle belongs to a longer history. The charts in the BCA Chartbook of Economic & Financial History trace the forces that have shaped economies, markets, and investment regimes across decades. That long view has guided BCA’s work since 1949....
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Report
Earnings Bubbles Are Still Bubbles
The AI bubble is a different type of bubble. It is primarily an earnings bubble rather than a valuation bubble. Like all bubbles, the AI bubble will burst. For now, however, our AI demand indicators do not suggest that this is imminent....
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Report
“Warshspan?” The Potential Return Of 1990s-Era Monetary Policy
In Section II, Jonathan explores whether Kevin Warsh's appointment as Fed Chair signals a return to Greenspan-era, rules-based monetary policy....
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Report
An Ocean Apart
In Section I, Doug revisits the situation in the Strait of Hormuz and its implications for growth in Europe and the US. In Section II, Jonathan explores whether Kevin Warsh's appointment as Fed Chair signals a return to Greenspan-era, rules-based monetary policy....
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Webcast Replay
Unparalleled Divergences, Bessenomics, and AI Hype

Please join Chief EM/China Strategist, Arthur Budaghyan for a Webcast.

Thursday, May 28
10:30 AM EDT | 3:30 PM BST | 4:30 PM CEST

Arthur will discuss:

  • The Fed: Damned if it does, damned if it doesn’t
  • Bessenomics upended?
  • Get Out of the Dollar (G.O.D.) Thesis: paused, not reversed
  • Unprecedented economic and market divergences
  • Lessons from the 2000 tech bubble peak
  • EM equities: A one-horse race
  • Opportunities in EM fixed income and equities
Watch Now