Insights

Drone and ballistic missile attacks were slowing, as of March 11. Air traffic in the region was also slowly recovering, as the pace of attacks declined. Warning, however: Reports from US CENTCOM and the IDF claim that Iran still has around 40% to 50% of its stockpile of missiles and launchers. Attac...

With all eyes on the Strait of Hormuz, BCA Research has created a dashboard of data for your convenience....

In the ongoing Middle East crisis, anti-fragile markets will remain relatively resilient while fragile markets will break. We describe how to draw the distinction. Plus, a new trade is a 50:50 combination of long USD/MXN and overweight Consumer Discretionary....

Private Credit, Software, Iran, Trump – important headlines, but the opportunity lies elsewhere. In this edition of the Public Versus Private series, we do things a little differently. We focus exclusively on US Sunbelt Multifamily, a perennial area of global investor interest. We favor Public REITs...

Momentum behind nuclear energy is accelerating, yet financing remains the critical constraint. In this Special Report, we examine how evolving taxonomies and green bond frameworks are reshaping access to sustainable capital and assess whether they can meaningfully support the revival of nuclear ener...

The recent oil price shock reinforces our view that inflation will surprise to the upside during the next few months but fall rapidly in H2 2026....

Our US Equity strategists dove into macro’s explanatory power in driving sector returns and fundamentals. Using principal component analysis, they show that growth, inflation, and rate risk together account for nearly three-quarters of sector return variation.  Macro risks also influence f...

Cross-asset correlations remain the clearest signal of how investors are pricing the energy shock. Risk assets rebounded late Monday after President Trump described the Iran war as “very complete, pretty much.” However, the outcome depends on Iran’s response, leadership cohesion, and willingness to ...

China's slowdown coincides with at least a minor global oil shock – a combination we have long feared....

In this monthly iteration of our chartpack, we focus exclusively on just two questions. First, we present four scenarios for how the situation in the Middle East develops. Second, what happens if the pernicious scenarios come to dominate, how investors should play a global recession, were it to occu...