Report
Our colleague Matt Gertken has penned a sober analysis on the midterms, calling for a Democratic Party sweep in 2026. It is a measured, data-driven, analysis that we encourage you to read.This quick Insight is neither sober nor data driven. It is hyperbolic and based on “vibes.” ...
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Webcast Replay
Noah Holds Barred Webcast: Episode 4 (Special Edition): Defense Wins Championships: Aerospace & Defense In A Multipolar World
Hosted By: Noah Weisberger, Chief US Equity Strategist, Matt Gertken, Head of GeoMacro
Moderated By: Jason Glazer, Senior Vice President, Sales
Thursday, August 27
10:30 AM-11:00 AM EDT | 3:30 PM-4:00 PM BST | 4:30 PM-5:00 PM CEST
Key topics discussed:
- The increasing frequency of global conflicts that fail to resolve into durable ceasefires
- Near-term risk to the S&P 500 from an intensification of the Ukraine war
- Risk of a post-midterm re-escalation of the US-Iran conflict
- Trump-Xi thaw and US-China security competition as drivers of global military spending
- The impact of the spending outlook on aerospace and defense stocks
- Do stock prices reflect the impact of a multipolar world?
- Potential ways to hedge ongoing geopolitical tensions
Report
Poland’s near-term growth story remains compelling: surging EU investment should cushion European weakness and support equity outperformance. But the clock is ticking. Demographics, skills shortages, and fiscal deterioration will increasingly constrain convergence. Favor Polish equities and the bell...
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Report
Many clients have asked us for an analysis of the long-term implications of the Hormuz Crisis. In this report, we posit that the conflict has been catalyzed by the multipolar context and that it will merely ossify the trends already afoot. Nothing offers incentives for more global capex like the thr...
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