Insights

The Fed is poised to deliver a 25-basis-point rate cut this month, but a follow-up rate cut in December will depend on how the divergence between strong consumer spending and weak employment growth is resolved....

Investors should not count on buoyant growth in the ASEAN and Indian economies because of manufacturing relocation away from China in the next couple of years....

Same policy rate, very different expectations. We break down why policy convergence between the Fed and BoE is THE fixed income trade for year-end....

Strong results and constructive commentary from the US’s largest banks are encouraging: Consumers remain in solid shape, and the macro backdrop continues to favor equities. The outlook for the largest banks is positive, and they are unlikely to be affected by isolated credit events....

The most significant divide in the stock market and the economy is the gap between companies positioned to benefit from the AI boom and companies without a link to it. The former are surging while many of the latter are struggling....

Speculative froth has built up across all precious metals, yet gold’s structural tailwinds will allow it to weather corrections better than its peers....

In global markets, speculative forces have intertwined with the sound fundamentals of specific equity segments, perplexing investors. This report aims to distinguish between excessive price run-ups and healthy fundamentals. ...

With Sino-US tensions flaring up again, will Chinese manufacturers accelerate their overseas capacity shift?  In this Special Report we examine China’s manufacturing offshoring through multiple lenses and tackle the key questions shaping its next phase....

This week, our screeners explore ways to play a long-term bullish metals view, sub-sector REITS opportunities as well as Japanese Value stocks. ...

In this report we examine how a variety of momentum strategies perform for different assets using moving average rules ranging from 1 day to 200 days. We find that mean-reversion strategies work best for equities and bonds, while trend-following strategies work best for commodities and, to a lesser ...