Insights
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Report
The US dollar will become a pro-cyclical currency going forward. This regime shift would upend financial market correlations, and most investment portfolios are not positioned for it. A great deal of money is made or lost during regime changes - and one is coming soon. That is why our message remain...
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Report
We stick to the view that geopolitical risk has peaked. The US and Iran tensions will increase oil prices, but below a level that will matter for the market. With global liquidity ample, private sector leverage low, and inflation peaking, bears are holding onto an epic collapse of the AI capex to sh...
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Webcast Replay
Please join Strategists, Mathieu Savary, with Ryan Swift, Roukaya Ibrahim, Robert Timper, and Artem Sakhbiev, for the BCA's Q3 FICC (Fixed Income, Commodities & Currencies) Outlook Webcast.
Tuesday, July 14
10:30 AM EDT | 3:30 PM BST | 4:30 PM CEST
Where they will discuss our take on the macro forces driving global fixed income, currencies, and commodities into year-end.
Topics to be discussed:
- US rates under a Warsh-led Fed,
- Where G10 central banks diverge from the Fed,
- The best opportunities we see across global bond markets,
- The dollar's path through year-end, and which currencies are set to win or lose most,
- Whether the US-Iran de-escalation holds, and the read-through for oil and the broader commodity complex.
Report
The US and Iran have engaged in a dramatic increase in kinetic activity over the past several days. It all appears to have started on July 6-7, when Iran allegedly attacked several ships in the Strait of Hormuz, vessels that were using the US-recommended route closer to Oman. Following US strikes ag...
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