Inflation Protected

Volatility is high, but the path for yields is clearer than it looks. Across three oil scenarios, we show how policy responses shape fixed income markets and why the balance of risks still points to lower yields.

Inflation’s underlying trend was headed lower prior to the Iran war. This makes the recent back-up in bond yields look like an attractive buying opportunity.

Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for April 2026.

The gap between PCE and CPI inflation will narrow within the next few months, mostly driven by core PCE inflation converging toward its trimmed mean.

Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for March 2026.

Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for February 2026.

In our 2026 inflation outlook, we explain why 2026 will bring more disinflation, upside risks remain contained, and how to position in ILBs across major markets.

Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for January 2026.

We present our five key views for global fixed income markets in 2026. A year that will see the global easing cycle come to an end.

Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for December 2025.