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Insights

Access expert research, timely insights, and exclusive webcasts to help you make confident, data-driven decisions.

All Reports Webcasts
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Report
On Hormuz’s LNG Disruption
The Iran war has damaged LNG production capacity and halted tanker flows through the Strait of Hormuz. We assess the conflict's impact on LNG markets over cyclical and structural horizons....
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Webcast Replay
Strait Talk

Topics discussed:

  • Update on the situation in the Strait of Hormuz: shipping, attacks, and the state of talks
  • How is the global energy market absorbing the shock?
  • How will central banks respond to the trade-off between growth and inflation?
  • Should investors fade the USD rebound?
  • How is the energy crisis rippling across other commodity markets?
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Report
Scarcity: The Ultimate Source Of Profits
Most of the increase in S&P 500 earnings estimates this year has stemmed from shortages. The oil shortage, which has pushed up estimates for energy companies, will fade once the military conflict is resolved. However, the shortage of semiconductors and other AI paraphernalia could persist for a ...
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Webcast Replay
Disconnect Between Markets And Fundamentals?

Please join Chief EM/China Strategist, Arthur Budaghyan, for a Webcast on Thursday, April 23 at 2:00 PM EDT | 7:00 PM BST | 8:00 PM CEST.

Arthur will discuss:

  • EM equities: A profitless rally
  • EM structural profitability: Little improvement
  • China: Making sense of the economy and stock market
  • EM Local Bonds: Buy Back On Dips
  • EM sovereign credit: As good as it gets
  • EM equity and fixed income opportunities
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Report
Oil Shocks: The Myth, And The Reality
In the US, the oil shock’s impact is more inflationary than recessionary but in the other economies, like the UK, the impact is both inflationary and recessionary. This creates relative value opportunities for bond investors. Plus, we reiterate short AUD/JPY as a trade....
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Report
With Central Banks On Hold, Carry Takes Over
With central banks largely on hold, the return of a lower volatility environment is bringing carry trades back into focus. We outline the most attractive carry opportunities across global fixed income markets....
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Report
Europe Infrastructure: Short Renewables, Long Power Storage And Data Centers
Europe has been too ambitious with Renewables. Oversupply, volatility, and rising contract risk are compressing revenues and returns. The space is now crowded yet markets have not fully repriced the risk. New opportunities are emerging: Power Storage and Data Centers have upside....
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Report
Time To Take Some Risk
We recommend increasing exposure to spread product as the US economy transitions back into a low rate vol regime....
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Report
Peru: Election Boosts Markets
Peru is well established to elect a pro-market government in the June 7 run-off, with institutional constraints limiting left-tail policy risks. We will go long Peruvian assets when Hormuz volatility subsides....
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Webcast Replay
Hormuz: The Ripple Effects

Roukaya discussed:

  • What is the status of the global and regional energy sector, including production and distribution?
  • How should investors assess the Iran war’s impact on the energy market?
  • How will the energy disruption ripple across other markets?
  • What are the long-term commodity market implications of the Iran war?
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