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Insights

Access expert research, timely insights, and exclusive webcasts to help you make confident, data-driven decisions.

All Reports Webcasts
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Report
Korea: More KOSPI Volatility, But A Positive Outlook For The Won
Rising volatility in Korean markets captures a late-cycle surge in which euphoria and drawdown risk are rising together. While KOSPI momentum remains intact, the bigger opportunity may be emerging in the increasingly mispriced KRW, which could rally meaningfully as portfolio flow headwinds fade....
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Report
Midterm Election Dashboard!
Midterms matter but geopolitics are the main risk this year. Markets will eventually refocus on geopolitical and inflation risks, raising Fed rate hike odds and supporting US dollar and stocks over global counterparts this year....
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Webcast Replay
Earnings Bonanza

Earnings versus everything else has been an apt description for the macro backdrop during the conflict with Iran. Earnings growth has been red hot, but the Middle East was a mess, oil and other energy-related costs soared, bond yields surged and money markets priced in a central bank U-turn from cuts to hikes. Earnings have carried the day to this point, and we think the equity market has been right to follow them.

 Doug discussed the events that could shift the narrative while keeping tabs on the following key drivers:

  • The labor market
  • Consumption
  • Inflation
  • Monetary policy
  • AI investment
  • Portfolio positioning over 3- and 12-month timeframes
Watch Now
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Report
Here, There, and Everywhere Report - June 2026
For the first time since… 2022… the GeoMacro team is starting to contemplate the end of the cycle in a serious way....
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Report
Is Political Backlash Against AI Investment-Relevant?
The populist backlash against AI could result in bipartisan regulation in 2027, but is especially likely to prompt tax hikes from 2029. ...
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Report
Dr. Copper, Australia, And Reinvestment-Led Technology
In this screener report, we explore opportunities in: US copper beneficiaries; Australian Materials, Energy, and Industrial stocks; and US reinvestment-led Tech stocks....
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Webcast Replay
Noah Holds Barred Episode 3 - The Coming IPO Wave: Too Big To Float

US Equity Strategy Webcast Series: Noah Holds Barred - Episode 3

Hosted By: Noah Weisberger, Chief US Equity Strategist

Moderated By: Jason Glazer, SVP, Sales

Key topics discussed:

  • Sizing the coming IPO wave
  • IPO expectations and market peaks – 40+ years of evidence
  • What to expect from market and sector performance  
  • Supply and demand  – the absorption question
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Report
Monster IPOs: Too Big To Float?
Based on 40 years of history and some 12,000 IPOs, the evidence suggests that the coming IPO wave may dampen forward market returns, mute further multiple expansion, and possibly interrupt sector trends. That said, even monster-sized IPOs are unlikely to trigger a sustained bear market: only about 2...
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Report
The Consumer Can Keep Going
Although the multi-decade surge in the value of households’ equity holdings has made US activity more vulnerable to a stock selloff, the latest income, spending and employment data suggest that consumption growth can carry on at a 2% inflation-adjusted pace....
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Report
US High-Quality Strategy: Large Caps Outperform, SMIDs Lag Throughout May
The US High Quality (USHQ) portfolio outperformed its benchmark through May, returning 3.88%, while its SPY benchmark returned 2.25%. On a trailing three-month basis, the USHQ portfolio’s performance was weaker than the benchmark, with USHQ underperforming by approx. 86bps....
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