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Strategy Report

A Tug Of War

by Arthur Budaghyan, Chief EM/China Strategist  

Despite a couple of rate cuts in H2 2024, borrowing costs will remain elevated in real terms amid lower inflation in the US and Europe. This and tightening fiscal policy will hinder domestic demand in advanced economies. Domestic demand in China and EM ex-China will remain very tepid, with risks skewed to the downside.

BCA Research | Emerging Markets Strategy

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