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Currencies

The Swiss Illusion: Strong Fundamentals, Weak Momentum
Our European Investment strategists believe Switzerland is no longer a tactical haven and recommend underweighting CHF and Swiss equities in favor of Swiss bonds. The country retains strong structural fundamentals: High productivity, innovation, robust…
Daily Insights by Felix Vezina-Poirier
A Technical Note On The Dollar
Our Foreign Exchange strategists recommend strategic investors sell the dollar on strength, while tactical investors position for a near-term bounce. The key risk for the dollar today is a potential balance-of-payments crisis. However, over a three-to-six…
Daily Insights by Felix Vezina-Poirier
A Technical Note On The Dollar

In this FX note, we provide a rationale for why it is important to pay attention to technical indicators, while still keeping your eyeball on the structural factors that drive currencies. This report answers the following questions: 1. Should you buy or sell the USD over a three-to-six month period from the pure lens of our proven technical indicators and 2. What are the best tactical cross trades among currencies. 

Foreign Exchange Strategy by Chester Ntonifor
Cross-Asset Volatility Collapse Masks Underlying Fragility
The S&P 500 has breached 6000 and may retest all-time highs, but we would not recommend chasing the rally. Risk assets have shrugged off recession fears, with stress indicators like the VIX, SKEW, and VVIX still subdued, signaling limited demand for…
Daily Insights by Felix Vezina-Poirier
MAGA vs. The “Globalists” – Round 2
Our Global Asset Allocation strategists remain underweight US equities and the dollar, as fiscal policy overtakes tariffs as the key market driver. The “One Big Beautiful Bill” may avoid worst-case scenarios, but rising US yields are already weighing on…
Daily Insights by Felix Vezina-Poirier
MacroQuant Model Update: The Trump Factor

MacroQuant warns that US equities are pricing in very little economic risk. The model is shunning equities and recommends a large overweight to cash.

Global Investment Strategy by Peter Berezin, Chanhyuck Lee, Allen Li
MacroQuant Model Update: The Trump Factor

MacroQuant warns that US equities are pricing in very little economic risk. The model is shunning equities and recommends a large overweight to cash.

Global Asset Allocation by Peter Berezin, Chanhyuck Lee, Allen Li
Brazil: Do Not Pop The Champagne
The most recent Brazilian data surprised positively, but underlying economic troubles will spoil the party for the country’s financial markets. Wholesale inflation came in at -0.49% in May relative to last month, while the unemployment rate fell from 7%…
Daily Insights by Juan Egana
A New Era In Currency Markets

Global currency markets have entered a new era. This implies that the framework for analyzing exchange rates must also change. We introduce a new framework for analyzing EM currencies and classify them into resilient and vulnerable categories. Finally, we are adding more EM domestic bonds to our portfolio and making many changes to our currency trades.

Emerging Markets Strategy, Foreign Exchange Strategy by Arthur Budaghyan
Where Next For The RBNZ?

This Insight looks at the implications of the RBNZ’s rate cut on New Zealand assets. 

Foreign Exchange Strategy, Global Fixed Income Strategy by Chester Ntonifor

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